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Archive for November, 2009

Overview of the current market for gold and silver. Bull market continues!

Today gold rose to a new all time high (again). The up-trend in gold is going much faster than we expected, so actually we were wrong. Though, you won’t hear us complaining of course. The brilliant price of $ 1122 was reached shortly. The temporary downturn we predicted did happen, just not as far as we expected, from $ 1050 in went down to $ 1030.  Why did gold go up so far? One side is the downturn the dollar has taken. So your gold only appears to have gone up for a part. The second contribution we have to thank the central bank of India for. They bought the gold the IMF was selling, we wrote about this in a previous post. So after 50 years of gold selling by central banks we now see them buying again (in an other part of the world though). Both these factors had the effect that investors started buying  again, resulting in an even bigger gain. We expect the gold price to remain stable for about 1 or 2 months or decline slightly before yet another rise. When we look at the technical chart of gold, and the expectation that both banks and investors will keep buying, we set the new price target for January 2010 at $ 1150.

What about silver? There we did not see such a large gain. This is the direct result of the industrial demand for silver. For a rising silver price we have to count on investors, they still seem to be focused on gold at this moment however. Once they finally realise that silver is undervalued big time, we might see the price of silver explode. We expect that the price will be around the $ 22 level at the end of this year. The big correction in the silver price, that we keep waiting on, should result in a real price explosion . We predict this will take place in beginning of next year. A price of $ 50 or even $ 60 is not unthinkable. Read our previous post on silver to learn why this will happen.

Conclusion, for both gold and silver we remain bullish. The last chance to buy at a reasonable price is now! The biggest “discount” however, is to be found in silver.